Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Tips
14:25 Uttoxeter – Leading Force
14:42 Pontefract – Risen Again
15:12 Pontefract – Point Lynas
17:12 Pontefract – Vaunted
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
Many of these handicap chasers have seen far better days on the track, a remark that especially applies to top weight Peking Rose. She was rated as high as 132 over hurdles and now races off 122 on her second start over larger obstacles. She still has time to improve at this new discipline, but her opening effort over fences here last month looked hugely laboured and her supporters will be relying on the return to slightly quicker ground as a plausible reason to stay loyal.
Bagheera Ginge ran an inexplicably poor race at Stratford last time, so the nod goes to the Sandy Thompson’s charge LEADING FORCE who patently failed to stay over three miles at Cartmel when a slow pace probably saw him race a bit too freely in the hands of Ryan Mania. He should be able to take his partner back here with a literally guaranteed fast pace on here with two potential front runners and up to four pressers in the field. Only 4lbs higher than for his smooth Sedgefield success in May, I confidently expect the son of Leading Light be in the mix coming down the final run on the home stretch.
Some old friends or foes on display here depending on how they have treated you in the punting stakes down the years. That tremendous servant, Young Fire, bounced back to form at Haydock Park last time out and a 5lbs penalty is certainly no bar to him going close to doubling up here and recording a possible 13th career win and a ninth on grass on his 64th start on this surface.
He is rightly respected along with the lightly raced Zous Juice. The latter makes his handicap debut off a lowly mark of 65 and this sounder surface will suit the gelding better than the good to soft ground at Thirsk last time. But in a wide open affair I’m going for James Ferguson’s charge RISEN AGAIN who has a lovely profile for this race. The three-year-old didn’t run as a juvenile, but started his career from March with two lovely runs before a 58 day break. His third qualifying run at Leicester was not without promise, as he came to win his race between the two and a half and one and a half furlong markers, and he just hung to his right and eased down close home. That run gives him a mark of 71 here and I would be surprised if he didn’t finish the campaign north of 80.
Although he is right up there at the top of my private ratings, Hi Royal looked desperately ill at ease on the fast ground in the Queen Anne Stakes at Royal Ascot and if we get a similar surface here then the son of Kodiac looks worth opposing. Of course many of you will rightfully point to this as being a significant drop in grade, but that opening race at the Royal meeting was a pretty average renewal.
Flight Plan finished a place in front of Kevin Ryan’s charge in that straight mile event and similar comments apply to him even though he is officially the top rated entry here and for those reasons the nod goes to the confirmed fast ground performer. Tactically versatile, Ed Bethell’s POINT LYNAS has been mild progressive this season and his last run in the Coral Challenge Handicap off a mark of 105 can be safely ignored on account of the ground (I was surprised he was allowed to run).
Back on a fast surface, he will be suited to this stiff climb down the stretch, and can surprise some higher rated performers in this valuable event.
He may not turn out to be the best ‘value’ bet of the day, but I’ve had Adrian Wintle’s VAUNTED in my tracker for a while, a position that was cemented even more by eye-catching runs on his last two outings at Bath behind Sisters on the Sky and Twayblade respectively. On both occasions he didn’t get the best of runs, but then finished off to good effect off on handicap marks of 53 and 51.
Down a further 1lb here to his lowest rating, and with Billy Loughnane on board, he looks ready to strike and record a fourth career win, on the turf. Tillybob is an outsider possibly worth a saver if she is strong in the market place. This lightly raced filly, having only her eighth career start, has plummeted down the handicap through just five starts in the last year and based on her Newcastle run in March, she could surprise and is a possible more potent danger than top weight Asmund.
Paul Jacobs’ Sunday Racing Tips
14:25 Uttoxeter – Leading Force
14:42 Pontefract – Risen Again
15:12 Pontefract – Point Lynas
17:12 Pontefract – Vaunted
*All prices are bang up to date with our snazzy widgets, while odds in copy are accurate at time of publishing but subject to change.
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Publish date : 2024-07-28 11:38:20
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